| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 2026 | W | West Georgia | 47-0 | 1420.1 | +12.1 | 1432.3 | 98.7% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | L | Georgia State | 17-31 | 1432.3 | +22.9 | 1455.1 | 38.5% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | L | Tennessee | 9-42 | 1455.1 | -29.5 | 1425.6 | 2.7% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | L | Arkansas State | 14-17 | 1425.6 | -4.6 | 1421.0 | 42.6% |
| 6 | Oct 7 2026 | L | Jacksonville State | 26-27 | 1432.3 | -4.8 | 1427.5 | 36.3% |
| 7 | Oct 14 2026 | L | Missouri State | 21-24 | 1427.5 | -0.3 | 1427.2 | 57.6% |